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Containing
chemical weapons By RAMESH THAKUR Special to
The Japan Times Recent events from the Middle East to
Northeast Asia have once again highlighted the unsatisfactory state of
affairs with respect to the tool kit available to the international community
for responding to the challenge of weapons of mass destruction. This makes it
all the more curious as to why more attention is not paid to the one area
where success is more clearly demonstrable. Chemical, biological and nuclear weapons
can inflict mass casualties in a single attack. The first two have been
outlawed. The Chemical Weapons Convention, in force since 1997, is the jewel
in the crown of global treaties regulating weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Unlike the more familiar Nuclear
Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), the CWC is universal and does not create a
world of chemical apartheid in which a small group of countries is in
legitimate possession of weapons that are banned for all others. Unlike the
Biological Weapons Convention (BMC), the CWC contains rigorous provisions on
monitoring and verification that routinely reach into the private sector to a
depth and breadth neither contemplated before nor emulated since.
Universality, equality, nondiscrimination and the promise of effectiveness
have helped secure near-total adherence to the CWC, embracing 95 and 98
percent of the world's population and chemical industry respectively. The use of chemicals as weapons --
poisoned arrows, arsenic smoke, noxious fumes -- is as old as human history.
Their range, accuracy and lethality increased exponentially with the
efficient harnessing for large-scale deployment, utilizing modern industrial
processes and organization. There has been a matching interest in
limiting the use of chemicals as tools of war. The CWC was the product of 20
years' negotiations for a treaty-based ban on the production, possession,
proliferation, transfer and use of chemical weapons, and their total
elimination. It is the only multilateral treaty to ban an entire category of
WMD, provide for international verification of their destruction and the
conversion of their production facilities to peaceful purposes, and actively
involve the global chemicals industry in treaty negotiations and ongoing
verification. The CWC also promotes international cooperation in the peaceful
uses of chemicals and provides for assistance and protection to countries
under chemical weapons (CW) threat or attack. The convention requires destruction of
all declared CW arsenals and production facilities. Unlike the NPT and the
BWC, it establishes an implementing secretariat. The Organization for the
Prohibition of Chemical Weapons is required to oversee and verify the total
destruction of all declared chemical weapons; inactivate and destroy or
convert to peaceful purposes all CW production facilities; and inspect the
production and, in some cases, the processing and consumption of dual-use
chemicals, and receive declarations of their transfer, in order to ensure
their exclusive peaceful use. The OPCW membership totals 186
countries. It has developed a database of over 1,500 CW-related compounds. It
works also to improve our capacity to respond to chemical attack and protect
civilian populations. All declared CW production capacity has
been inactivated, with 55 of the 65 CW production facilities certified as
destroyed or converted to peaceful purposes. Inventory of all declared CW
stockpiles has been completed, though only 2.5 million of the 8.7 million
munitions have been destroyed. Just a tiny drop of nerve agent the size of a
pinhead can kill an adult within minutes, yet under 14,000 of the 71,000 tons
of declared CW agents have been destroyed. Over 6,000 industrial facilities
around the world are liable for inspection. Although the "architecture"
for banning chemical weapons is complete and effective, many critical
components of the inspections regime remain untested, and efforts are in
train for achieving universality, reporting of dual-use exports and imports,
and ensuring effective verification and enforcement. With the verified
destruction of only one-fifth of declared weapons agents, the goal of
destruction of all CW stockpiles by the agreed extended deadline of 2012 may
not be met. The OPCW has conducted 2,500 inspections
at 200 military and 700 industrial sites in 76 countries. But it is yet to
refer a case of possible noncompliance to the U.N. Security Council. This
curious oddity, of a distinctively strong challenge inspection system that
has never been utilized, may indicate that the convention's deterrent effect
has been perfect. But the effectiveness of a system yet to be tested must
remain under question. Is the CWC a dinosaur, a relic left over
from the Cold War? Or a model for multilateral undertakings to build global
consensus on security through arms control, create confidence and deter
treaty violations? The international challenge inspection system is
reinforced by national legislation and measures on criminalization of
proliferation activities, effective protection of proliferation sensitive
personnel, materials and equipment, control and accounting systems for
monitoring materials and stocks, and regulation and surveillance of dual-use
transfers. In these respects, the OPCW shows the
way for the NPT and the BWC in addressing proliferation threats. But it must
continually adapt to an evolving situation where chemical weapons are part of
the bigger picture of possible use of hazardous materials by terrorists and
criminal organizations. The challenge is as real as the stakes are high. Ramesh Thakur is senior vice rector of the United
Nations University in Tokyo. "The Chemical Weapons Convention:
Implementation, Challenges and Opportunities," edited by Thakur and Ere
Haru of the OPCW, has just been published by the UNU Press. The Japan Times: Monday, July 24, 2006 |